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Almeria vs Leganes Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSun, 11 Oct 2026

Almeria

2nd in table · 25 pts

WWWWW

Sun, 11 Oct 202615:15

3 : 0

Full time

Leganes

17th in table · 12 pts

WLLLD

Pre-match win probability

58.1%Almeria24.8%Draw17.1%Leganes

Our prediction

Home · Almeria

Almeria vs Leganes listed tip from the board.

Odds1.62
Confidence58.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Almeria 58.1%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Leganes 17.1%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

AlmeriaLeganes
Goals scored (avg)
–0.7
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.3
Wins
83
Played
1111

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Almeria0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Leganes3W 2D 4L in last 9
    • 24 OctLeganes1 – 1MallorcaD
    • 16 OctLeganes0 – 1CordobaL
    • 3 OctCadiz4 – 0LeganesL
    • 28 SeptLeganes0 – 2CastellónL
    • 20 SeptLeganes3 – 2Granada CFW
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
    1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
    2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
    3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.6%
    No46.4%

    Double chance

    1X66.4%
    X233.6%

    Match result

    Almeria1.62
    Draw3.8
    Leganes5.5

    Both teams to score

    Yes53.6% · 1.73
    No46.4% · 2

    1X

    Chance66.4%
    Odds1.14

    X2

    Chance33.6%
    Odds2.25

    Almeria

    Chance58.1%
    Odds1.62

    Draw

    Chance24.8%
    Odds3.8

    Leganes

    Chance17.1%
    Odds5.5

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Home at 1.62

    AlmeriaLeganes
    Recent form8%92%
    Attack59%41%
    Defence37%63%
    Goals model59%41%
    Overall77%23%

    Trends

    Trend · Segunda División

    Leganes scored 0.7 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Leganes conceded 1.3 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Failed to score in 5 of those 9.

    Trend · Segunda División

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 9.

    Almeria vs Leganes: prediction & preview

    Spain · Segunda División · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

    Almeria meet Leganes in the Spain, Segunda División on 11 October 2026 at 15:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Almeria at 1.62. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 58.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Almeria vs Leganes FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Almeria vs Leganes?

    Kickoff is 15:15 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Almeria vs Leganes?

    Almeria is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.62. The margin-adjusted share is about 58.1%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.