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Almeria vs Real Sociedad II Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Segunda DivisiónSun, 29 Mar 2026

Almeria

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Sun, 29 Mar 202620:00

5 : 1

Full time

Real Sociedad II

LWWWL

Pre-match win probability

61.8%Almeria21.4%Draw16.8%Real Sociedad II

Our prediction

Draw · Almeria

Almeria vs Real Sociedad II listed tip from the board.

Odds4.33
Confidence61.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Almeria 61.8%
  • Draw 21.4%
  • Real Sociedad II 16.8%

Season statistics

Segunda División · highlighted side is stronger

AlmeriaReal Sociedad II

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.021.4% · 17
1.5 goals20.2% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals15.1% · 1.5710.1% · 2.35
3.5 goals9.9% · 2.3815.5% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X68.7%
X231.3%

Match result

Almeria1.5
Draw4.33
Real Sociedad II5.5

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance68.7%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance31.3%
Odds2.5

Almeria

Chance61.8%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance21.4%
Odds4.33

Real Sociedad II

Chance16.8%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 4.33

AlmeriaReal Sociedad II
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall79%21%

Almeria vs Real Sociedad II: prediction & preview

Spain · Segunda División · Sun, 29 Mar 2026

Almeria meet Real Sociedad II in the Spain, Segunda División on 29 March 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 5–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Almeria at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 61.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Almeria vs Real Sociedad II FAQs

4 questions

What time is Almeria vs Real Sociedad II?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 29 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Almeria vs Real Sociedad II?

Almeria is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 61.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.57 and under 2.5 is 2.35.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Almeria vs Real Sociedad II prediction, H2H and stats