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Alverca vs Arouca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 24 Oct 2026

Alverca

DWWWL

Sat, 24 Oct 202618:00

0 : 1

Full time

Arouca

DWDLD

Pre-match win probability

46.4%Alverca28%Draw25.7%Arouca

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Alverca

Alverca vs Arouca listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alverca 46.4%
  • Draw 28%
  • Arouca 25.7%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AlvercaArouca

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X57.5%
X242.5%

Match result

Alverca2.05
Draw3.4
Arouca3.7

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

Alverca

Chance46.4%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance28%
Odds3.4

Arouca

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.28

AlvercaArouca
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall64%36%

Alverca vs Arouca: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 24 Oct 2026

Alverca meet Arouca in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alverca at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alverca vs Arouca FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alverca vs Arouca?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 24 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alverca vs Arouca?

Alverca is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alverca vs Arouca prediction, H2H and stats