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Alverca vs Estrela Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 31 Jan 2026

Alverca

LWWLL

Sat, 31 Jan 202621:30

1 : 1

Full time

Estrela

LLDWD

Pre-match win probability

49.6%Alverca29.5%Draw20.9%Estrela

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Alverca

Alverca vs Estrela listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence49.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alverca 49.6%
  • Draw 29.5%
  • Estrela 20.9%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AlvercaEstrela

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.1% · 2.615.9% · 1.48
3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.7% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes42.4%
No57.6%

Double chance

1X59.6%
X240.4%

Match result

Alverca1.9
Draw3.2
Estrela4.5

Both teams to score

Yes42.4% · 2.2
No57.6% · 1.62

1X

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

Alverca

Chance49.6%
Odds1.9

Draw

Chance29.5%
Odds3.2

Estrela

Chance20.9%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.8

AlvercaEstrela
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Alverca vs Estrela: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 31 Jan 2026

Alverca meet Estrela in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 31 January 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alverca at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alverca vs Estrela FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alverca vs Estrela?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 31 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alverca vs Estrela?

Alverca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.6 and under 2.5 is 1.48.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alverca vs Estrela prediction, H2H and stats