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Alverca vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSat, 17 Jan 2026

Alverca

WLLLW

Sat, 17 Jan 202619:00

2 : 1

Full time

Moreirense

WWDLD

Pre-match win probability

40.8%Alverca32.4%Draw26.8%Moreirense

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Alverca

Alverca vs Moreirense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.57
Confidence40.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Alverca 40.8%
  • Draw 32.4%
  • Moreirense 26.8%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AlvercaMoreirense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.2% · 1.113.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals15.7% · 1.59.4% · 2.5
2.5 goals9.1% · 2.615.9% · 1.48
3.5 goals4.3% · 5.520.7% · 1.14

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X55.1%
X244.9%

Match result

Alverca2.3
Draw2.9
Moreirense3.5

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance55.1%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance44.9%
Odds1.57

Alverca

Chance40.8%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance32.4%
Odds2.9

Moreirense

Chance26.8%
Odds3.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.57

AlvercaMoreirense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Alverca vs Moreirense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sat, 17 Jan 2026

Alverca meet Moreirense in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 17 January 2026 at 19:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Alverca at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.48, about 63.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Alverca vs Moreirense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Alverca vs Moreirense?

Kickoff is 19:00 on 17 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Alverca vs Moreirense?

Alverca is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.6 and under 2.5 is 1.48.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Alverca vs Moreirense prediction, H2H and stats