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Amarante vs Trofense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sun, 8 Mar 2026

Amarante

2nd in table · 29 pts

DWLLL

Sun, 8 Mar 202616:00

1 : 0

Full time

Trofense

3rd in table · 28 pts

LDLDL

Pre-match win probability

39.4%Amarante29.2%Draw31.4%Trofense

Our prediction

Amarante

Amarante is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.3
Confidence39.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Amarante 39.4%
  • Draw 29.2%
  • Trofense 31.4%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AmaranteTrofense
Goals scored (avg)
10.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.42.2
Wins
87
Played
1818

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Amarante2W 2D 6L in last 10
  • 26 OctTorreense1 – 0AmaranteL
  • 17 OctAcademica3 – 2AmaranteL
  • 10 OctAmarante1 – 2PortimonenseL
  • 20 SeptPonte da Barca0 – 2AmaranteW
  • 13 SeptAmarante2 – 2União de LeiriaD
Trofense1W 3D 6L in last 10
  • 24 OctParedes4 – 0TrofenseL
  • 11 OctFafe2 – 2TrofenseD
  • 12 SeptTrofense1 – 4LeçaL
  • 5 SeptGuimaraes B0 – 0TrofenseD
  • 29 AugVarzim5 – 1TrofenseL
H2H
Head to headAmarante 2W · 4D · Trofense 2W · 0.8 goals a game
  • 1 MayTrofense0 – 0Amarante
  • 25 JanAmarante1 – 1Trofense
  • 2 NovTrofense0 – 1Amarante
  • 10 NovTrofense1 – 0Amarante
  • 11 AugAmarante1 – 0Trofense
  • 14 MarTrofense1 – 0Amarante

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals37.5% · 2.562.5% · 1.5

Double chance

1X53%
X247%

Match result

Amarante2.3
Draw3.1
Trofense2.88

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance53%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance47%
Odds1.5

Amarante

Chance39.4%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance29.2%
Odds3.1

Trofense

Chance31.4%
Odds2.88

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Amarante at 2.3

AmaranteTrofense
Recent form57%43%
Attack63%37%
Defence67%33%
Goals model63%37%
Head-to-head50%50%
Overall56%44%

Trends

Trend · Liga 3

Amarante scored 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Amarante conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Failed to score in 3 of those 10.

Trend · Liga 3

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Amarante vs Trofense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Liga 3 · Sun, 8 Mar 2026

Amarante meet Trofense in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Amarante at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.5, about 62.5% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Amarante vs Trofense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Amarante vs Trofense?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 8 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Amarante vs Trofense?

Amarante is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.5 and under 2.5 is 1.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.