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Amarante vs Varzim Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Liga 3Sat, 4 Apr 2026

Amarante

Sat, 4 Apr 202615:00

1 : 0

Full time

Varzim

LLLLL

Pre-match win probability

38.3%Amarante31.4%Draw30.3%Varzim

Our prediction

Amarante

Amarante is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.38
Confidence38.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Amarante 38.3%
  • Draw 31.4%
  • Varzim 30.3%

Season statistics

Liga 3 · highlighted side is stronger

AmaranteVarzim
Goals scored (avg)
–1.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.4

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Amarante0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Varzim5W 0D 5L in last 10
    • 25 OctVarzim2 – 4Guimaraes BL
    • 11 OctSão João Ver2 – 1VarzimL
    • 19 SeptVitória de Sernache2 – 1VarzimL
    • 12 SeptVarzim1 – 2VianenseL
    • 5 SeptVarzim0 – 1ParedesL
    H2H
    Head to headAmarante 4W · 1D · Varzim 3W · 2 goals a game
    • 7 FebVarzim2 – 1Amarante
    • 9 NovVarzim0 – 0Amarante
    • 10 AugAmarante0 – 1Varzim
    • 6 AprAmarante2 – 1Varzim
    • 8 FebVarzim1 – 2Amarante
    • 15 DecAmarante0 – 1Varzim

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals33.7% · 2.7566.3% · 1.4

    Double chance

    1X53.6%
    X246.4%

    Match result

    Amarante2.38
    Draw2.9
    Varzim3

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance53.6%
    Odds1.3

    X2

    Chance46.4%
    Odds1.5

    Amarante

    Chance38.3%
    Odds2.38

    Draw

    Chance31.4%
    Odds2.9

    Varzim

    Chance30.3%
    Odds3

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Amarante at 2.38

    AmaranteVarzim
    Recent form6%94%
    Attack36%64%
    Defence38%62%
    Goals model36%64%
    Head-to-head56%44%
    Overall56%44%

    Trends

    Trend · Liga 3

    Varzim scored 1.8 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Varzim conceded 1.4 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · Liga 3

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    Amarante vs Varzim: prediction & preview

    Portugal · Liga 3 · Sat, 4 Apr 2026

    Amarante meet Varzim in the Portugal, Liga 3 on 4 April 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Amarante at 2.38. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.4, about 66.3% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Amarante vs Varzim FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Amarante vs Varzim?

    Kickoff is 15:00 on 4 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Amarante vs Varzim?

    Amarante is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.38. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.3%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 2.75 and under 2.5 is 1.4.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.