Araguaína vs Independência Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie DSun, 26 Apr 2026

Araguaína

Sun, 26 Apr 202620:00

1 : 1

Full time

Independência

Pre-match win probability

52%Araguaína29%Draw18.9%Independência

Our prediction

Araguaína

Araguaína is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.73
Confidence52%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Araguaína 52%
  • Draw 29%
  • Independência 18.9%

Season statistics

Serie D · highlighted side is stronger

AraguaínaIndependência

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.9% · 1.073.1% · 7.5
1.5 goals16.7% · 1.48.5% · 2.75
2.5 goals10.4% · 2.2514.4% · 1.62
3.5 goals5.8% · 419.2% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes44.3%
No55.7%

Double chance

1X63.5%
X236.5%

Match result

Araguaína1.73
Draw3.1
Independência4.75

Both teams to score

Yes44.3% · 2.1
No55.7% · 1.67

1X

Chance63.5%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance36.5%
Odds1.95

Araguaína

Chance52%
Odds1.73

Draw

Chance29%
Odds3.1

Independência

Chance18.9%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Araguaína at 1.73

AraguaínaIndependência
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall73%27%

Araguaína vs Independência: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie D · Sun, 26 Apr 2026

Araguaína meet Independência in the Brazil, Serie D on 26 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Araguaína at 1.73. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.62, about 58.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Araguaína vs Independência FAQs

4 questions

What time is Araguaína vs Independência?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 26 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Araguaína vs Independência?

Araguaína is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.73. The margin-adjusted share is about 52%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.25 and under 2.5 is 1.62.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.1. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Araguaína vs Independência prediction, H2H and stats