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Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Ethiopia · Premier LeagueSun, 22 Feb 2026

Arba Minch Kenema

Sun, 22 Feb 202613:00

1 : 1

Full time

Negelle Arsi

Pre-match win probability

27.9%Arba Minch Kenema33.6%Draw38.6%Negelle Arsi

Our prediction

Negelle Arsi

Negelle Arsi is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.35
Confidence38.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Arba Minch Kenema 27.9%
  • Draw 33.6%
  • Negelle Arsi 38.6%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Arba Minch KenemaNegelle Arsi

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals29% · 3.2571% · 1.33

Double chance

1X45.5%
X254.5%

Match result

Arba Minch Kenema3.25
Draw2.7
Negelle Arsi2.35

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance45.5%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance54.5%
Odds1.25

Arba Minch Kenema

Chance27.9%
Odds3.25

Draw

Chance33.6%
Odds2.7

Negelle Arsi

Chance38.6%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Negelle Arsi at 2.35

Arba Minch KenemaNegelle Arsi
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall42%58%

Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi: prediction & preview

Ethiopia · Premier League · Sun, 22 Feb 2026

Arba Minch Kenema meet Negelle Arsi in the Ethiopia, Premier League on 22 February 2026 at 13:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Negelle Arsi at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 38.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.33, about 71% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi FAQs

4 questions

What time is Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Kickoff is 13:00 on 22 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi?

Negelle Arsi is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 38.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 3.25 and under 2.5 is 1.33.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.

Arba Minch Kenema vs Negelle Arsi prediction, H2H and stats