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Ards vs Ballinamallard United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Northern-Ireland · ChampionshipSat, 28 Feb 2026

Ards

DLWDL

Sat, 28 Feb 202616:00

2 : 1

Full time

Ballinamallard United

LDLWL

Pre-match win probability

48.6%Ards25%Draw26.4%Ballinamallard United

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Ards

Ards vs Ballinamallard United listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence48.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ards 48.6%
  • Draw 25%
  • Ballinamallard United 26.4%

Season statistics

Championship · highlighted side is stronger

ArdsBallinamallard United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.011.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.2% · 1.225.8% · 4
2.5 goals13.4% · 1.7511.4% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.5% · 2.7516.7% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes53.6%
No46.4%

Double chance

1X59%
X241%

Match result

Ards1.85
Draw3.6
Ballinamallard United3.4

Both teams to score

Yes53.6% · 1.73
No46.4% · 2

1X

Chance59%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance41%
Odds1.8

Ards

Chance48.6%
Odds1.85

Draw

Chance25%
Odds3.6

Ballinamallard United

Chance26.4%
Odds3.4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.8

ArdsBallinamallard United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

Ards vs Ballinamallard United: prediction & preview

Northern-Ireland · Championship · Sat, 28 Feb 2026

Ards meet Ballinamallard United in the Northern-Ireland, Championship on 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ards at 1.85. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.73.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ards vs Ballinamallard United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ards vs Ballinamallard United?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 28 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ards vs Ballinamallard United?

Ards is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.85. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.73. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ards vs Ballinamallard United prediction, H2H and stats