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Ards vs Warrenpoint Town Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Northern-Ireland · ChampionshipSat, 21 Mar 2026

Ards

8th in table · 43 pts

DWLDD

Sat, 21 Mar 202616:00

3 : 0

Full time

Warrenpoint Town

9th in table · 36 pts

WDWDW

Pre-match win probability

53.7%Ards23.9%Draw22.4%Warrenpoint Town

Our prediction

Home · Ards

Ards vs Warrenpoint Town listed tip from the board.

Odds1.67
Confidence53.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ards 53.7%
  • Draw 23.9%
  • Warrenpoint Town 22.4%

Season statistics

Championship · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ArdsWarrenpoint Town
Goals scored (avg)
0.62.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
11.4
Wins
1210
Played
3333

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Ards2W 4D 4L in last 10
  • 24 OctArmagh City1 – 1ArdsD
  • 20 OctRathfriland0 – 0ArdsD
  • 16 OctArds0 – 2InstituteL
  • 9 OctNewington Youth0 – 2ArdsW
  • 3 OctBallinamallard United1 – 1ArdsD
Warrenpoint Town4W 3D 2L in last 9
  • 21 OctWarrenpoint Town5 – 2Crusaders FCW
  • 17 OctBallinamallard United2 – 2Warrenpoint TownD
  • 10 OctWarrenpoint Town1 – 0Strabane AthleticW
  • 3 OctWarrenpoint Town1 – 1Annagh UnitedD
  • 25 SeptRathfriland0 – 2Warrenpoint TownW
H2H
Head to headArds 4W · 2D · Warrenpoint Town 3W · 2.9 goals a game
  • 15 AugWarrenpoint Town1 – 3Ards
  • 25 AprWarrenpoint Town0 – 1Ards
  • 26 DecArds0 – 0Warrenpoint Town
  • 13 SeptWarrenpoint Town2 – 0Ards
  • 11 AprArds1 – 0Warrenpoint Town
  • 21 JanArds3 – 5Warrenpoint Town

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.011.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.6% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14.2% · 1.6510.7% · 2.2
3.5 goals9% · 2.6216.3% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X63.1%
X236.9%

Match result

Ards1.67
Draw3.75
Warrenpoint Town4

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance63.1%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance36.9%
Odds2

Ards

Chance53.7%
Odds1.67

Draw

Chance23.9%
Odds3.75

Warrenpoint Town

Chance22.4%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.67

ArdsWarrenpoint Town
Recent form40%60%
Attack21%79%
Defence56%44%
Goals model21%79%
Head-to-head56%44%
Overall71%29%

Trends

Trend · Championship

Ards scored 0.6 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Ards conceded 1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Championship

Failed to score in 5 of those 10.

Trend · Championship

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 10.

Ards vs Warrenpoint Town: prediction & preview

Northern-Ireland · Championship · Sat, 21 Mar 2026

Ards meet Warrenpoint Town in the Northern-Ireland, Championship on 21 March 2026 at 16:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ards at 1.67. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 53.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ards vs Warrenpoint Town FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ards vs Warrenpoint Town?

Kickoff is 16:00 on 21 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ards vs Warrenpoint Town?

Ards is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.67. The margin-adjusted share is about 53.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.65 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.