Get Premium

Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Aretxabaleta

6th in table · 14 pts

DLWWL

Sun, 11 Oct 202615:30

4 : 2

Full time

Pasaia KE

13th in table · 10 pts

WWWLL

Pre-match win probability

44.8%Aretxabaleta27.6%Draw27.6%Pasaia KE

Our prediction

Aretxabaleta

Aretxabaleta is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2
Confidence44.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aretxabaleta 44.8%
  • Draw 27.6%
  • Pasaia KE 27.6%

Season statistics

Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AretxabaletaPasaia KE
Goals scored (avg)
1.10.9
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.91.8
Wins
43
Played
88

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Aretxabaleta4W 2D 3L in last 9
  • 25 OctAretxabaleta0 – 2Eibar IIIL
  • 18 OctR. Union B0 – 2AretxabaletaW
  • 3 OctLagun Onak1 – 2AretxabaletaW
  • 26 SeptAretxabaleta1 – 2DerioL
  • 19 SeptDurango0 – 0AretxabaletaD
Pasaia KE3W 1D 5L in last 9
  • 24 OctDurango2 – 0Pasaia KEL
  • 17 OctPasaia KE1 – 4BeasainL
  • 3 OctPasaia KE1 – 0SanturtziW
  • 27 SeptSan Ignacio1 – 2Pasaia KEW
  • 19 SeptPasaia KE3 – 2Real Sociedad IIIW
H2H
Head to headAretxabaleta 3W · 0D · Pasaia KE 1W · 3.3 goals a game
  • 15 AprPasaia KE3 – 2Aretxabaleta
  • 14 DecAretxabaleta1 – 0Pasaia KE
  • 23 FebAretxabaleta2 – 1Pasaia KE
  • 12 OctPasaia KE1 – 3Aretxabaleta

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals48.7% · 1.9551.3% · 1.85

Double chance

1X57.2%
X242.8%

Match result

Aretxabaleta2
Draw3.25
Pasaia KE3.25

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance57.2%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance42.8%
Odds1.67

Aretxabaleta

Chance44.8%
Odds2

Draw

Chance27.6%
Odds3.25

Pasaia KE

Chance27.6%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Aretxabaleta at 2

AretxabaletaPasaia KE
Recent form58%42%
Attack55%45%
Defence64%36%
Goals model55%45%
Head-to-head75%25%
Overall62%38%

Trends

Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Aretxabaleta scored 1.1 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Aretxabaleta conceded 0.9 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Failed to score in 3 of those 9.

Trend · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Kept a clean sheet in 4 of those 9.

Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE: prediction & preview

Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Aretxabaleta meet Pasaia KE in the Spain, Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 on 11 October 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aretxabaleta at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE?

Kickoff is 15:30 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aretxabaleta vs Pasaia KE?

Aretxabaleta is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.