Aris vs AEK Larnaca Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Cyprus · 1. DivisionFri, 22 May 2026

Aris

6th in table · 43 pts

LWWDW

Fri, 22 May 202615:30

3 : 4

Full time

AEK Larnaca

2nd in table · 53 pts

DDWLW

Pre-match win probability

41.7%Aris26%Draw32.3%AEK Larnaca

Our prediction

Away · Aris

Aris vs AEK Larnaca listed tip from the board.

Odds2.9
Confidence41.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aris 41.7%
  • Draw 26%
  • AEK Larnaca 32.3%

Season statistics

1. Division · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

ArisAEK Larnaca
Goals scored (avg)
1.9–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.3–
Wins
1216
Played
2626

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Aris5W 3D 2L in last 10
  • 25 OctAEL1 – 3ArisW
  • 18 OctAris1 – 1AEK LarnacaD
  • 14 OctAris4 – 0Ethnikos AchnaW
  • 11 OctOlympiakos1 – 2ArisW
  • 3 OctAris1 – 2RigaL
AEK Larnaca0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headAris 2W · 3D · AEK Larnaca 4W · 2 goals a game
    • 18 OctAris1 – 1AEK Larnaca
    • 25 AprAEK Larnaca2 – 0Aris
    • 10 JanAris1 – 0AEK Larnaca
    • 22 SeptAEK Larnaca3 – 2Aris
    • 27 AprAris1 – 0AEK Larnaca
    • 29 MarAEK Larnaca1 – 1Aris

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    2.5 goals54.6% · 1.7345.4% · 2.08

    Double chance

    1X53.6%
    X246.4%

    Match result

    Aris2.25
    Draw3.6
    AEK Larnaca2.9

    No BTTS prices stored.

    1X

    Chance53.6%
    Odds1.36

    X2

    Chance46.4%
    Odds1.57

    Aris

    Chance41.7%
    Odds2.25

    Draw

    Chance26%
    Odds3.6

    AEK Larnaca

    Chance32.3%
    Odds2.9

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Away at 2.9

    ArisAEK Larnaca
    Recent form95%5%
    Attack66%34%
    Defence63%37%
    Goals model66%34%
    Head-to-head39%61%
    Overall56%44%

    Trends

    Trend · 1. Division

    Aris scored 1.9 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · 1. Division

    Aris conceded 1.3 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · 1. Division

    Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

    Trend · 1. Division

    Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

    Aris vs AEK Larnaca: prediction & preview

    Cyprus · 1. Division · Fri, 22 May 2026

    Aris meet AEK Larnaca in the Cyprus, 1. Division on 22 May 2026 at 15:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–4.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aris at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin).

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Aris vs AEK Larnaca FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Aris vs AEK Larnaca?

    Kickoff is 15:30 on 22 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Aris vs AEK Larnaca?

    Aris is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.7%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.