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Arouca vs Moreirense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Portugal · Primeira LigaSun, 16 Aug 2026

Arouca

WWLDD

Sun, 16 Aug 202618:00

4 : 0

Full time

Moreirense

DDWDL

Pre-match win probability

48.5%Arouca27.8%Draw23.7%Moreirense

Our prediction

X2 · Arouca

Arouca vs Moreirense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.8
Confidence48.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Arouca 48.5%
  • Draw 27.8%
  • Moreirense 23.7%

Season statistics

Primeira Liga · highlighted side is stronger

AroucaMoreirense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.8% · 8.5
1.5 goals17.7% · 1.337.3% · 3.25
2.5 goals11.2% · 2.113.9% · 1.7
3.5 goals6.3% · 3.7518.9% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X59.6%
X240.4%

Match result

Arouca1.95
Draw3.4
Moreirense4

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance59.6%
Odds1.22

X2

Chance40.4%
Odds1.8

Arouca

Chance48.5%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance27.8%
Odds3.4

Moreirense

Chance23.7%
Odds4

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.8

AroucaMoreirense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall67%33%

Arouca vs Moreirense: prediction & preview

Portugal · Primeira Liga · Sun, 16 Aug 2026

Arouca meet Moreirense in the Portugal, Primeira Liga on 16 August 2026 at 18:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arouca at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Arouca vs Moreirense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Arouca vs Moreirense?

Kickoff is 18:00 on 16 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Arouca vs Moreirense?

Arouca is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Arouca vs Moreirense prediction, H2H and stats