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Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueTue, 21 Oct 2025

Arsenal

Tue, 21 Oct 202520:00

4 : 0

Full time

Atletico Madrid

Pre-match win probability

59.7%Arsenal23.8%Draw16.5%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Arsenal

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.16
Confidence59.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Arsenal 59.7%
  • Draw 23.8%
  • Atletico Madrid 16.5%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

ArsenalAtletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals0%3.2% · 9.5
1.5 goals24% · 1.279% · 3.38
2.5 goals15.2% · 215.7% · 1.94
3.5 goals9.6% · 3.1823.4% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes48.4%
No51.6%

Double chance

1X67.2%
X232.8%

Match result

Arsenal1.65
Draw4.14
Atletico Madrid5.97

Both teams to score

Yes48.4% · 1.92
No51.6% · 1.8

1X

Chance67.2%
Odds1.16

X2

Chance32.8%
Odds2.38

Arsenal

Chance59.7%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance23.8%
Odds4.14

Atletico Madrid

Chance16.5%
Odds5.97

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.16

ArsenalAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall78%22%

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 21 Oct 2025

Arsenal meet Atletico Madrid in the World, UEFA Champions League on 21 October 2025 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.94, about 50.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 21 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid?

Arsenal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2 and under 2.5 is 1.94.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.92. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Arsenal vs Atletico Madrid prediction, H2H and stats