Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Arsenal

Mon, 18 May 202620:00

1 : 0

Full time

Burnley

Pre-match win probability

86.9%Arsenal9.5%Draw3.6%Burnley

Our prediction

Home · Arsenal

Arsenal vs Burnley listed tip from the board.

Odds1.09
Confidence86.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Arsenal 86.9%
  • Draw 9.5%
  • Burnley 3.6%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

ArsenalBurnley

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.5% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.2% · 1.124% · 6
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes33.7%
No66.3%

Double chance

1X88.8%
X211.2%

Match result

Arsenal1.09
Draw10
Burnley26

Both teams to score

Yes33.7% · 2.75
No66.3% · 1.4

1X

Chance88.8%
Odds1.01

X2

Chance11.2%
Odds8

Arsenal

Chance86.9%
Odds1.09

Draw

Chance9.5%
Odds10

Burnley

Chance3.6%
Odds26

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.09

ArsenalBurnley
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall96%4%

Arsenal vs Burnley: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Mon, 18 May 2026

Arsenal meet Burnley in the England, Premier League on 18 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 1.09. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 86.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Arsenal vs Burnley FAQs

4 questions

What time is Arsenal vs Burnley?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 18 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Arsenal vs Burnley?

Arsenal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.09. The margin-adjusted share is about 86.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Arsenal vs Burnley prediction, H2H and stats