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Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSun, 1 Mar 2026

Arsenal

WDWDW

Sun, 1 Mar 202617:30

2 : 1

Full time

Chelsea

DWDWL

Pre-match win probability

63%Arsenal21.8%Draw15.1%Chelsea

Our prediction

Home · Arsenal

Arsenal vs Chelsea listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence63%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Arsenal 63%
  • Draw 21.8%
  • Chelsea 15.1%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

ArsenalChelsea

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X68%
X232%

Match result

Arsenal1.5
Draw4.33
Chelsea6.25

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance68%
Odds1.12

X2

Chance32%
Odds2.38

Arsenal

Chance63%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance21.8%
Odds4.33

Chelsea

Chance15.1%
Odds6.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.5

ArsenalChelsea
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall81%19%

Arsenal vs Chelsea: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sun, 1 Mar 2026

Arsenal meet Chelsea in the England, Premier League on 1 March 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 63% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Arsenal vs Chelsea FAQs

4 questions

What time is Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 1 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Arsenal vs Chelsea?

Arsenal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 63%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction, H2H and stats