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Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · League CupSun, 22 Mar 2026

Arsenal

WWDWW

Sun, 22 Mar 202617:30

0 : 2

Full time

Manchester City

LDLWD

Pre-match win probability

42.5%Arsenal28.1%Draw29.4%Manchester City

Our prediction

Home · Arsenal

Arsenal vs Manchester City listed tip from the board.

Odds2.25
Confidence42.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Arsenal 42.5%
  • Draw 28.1%
  • Manchester City 29.4%

Season statistics

League Cup · highlighted side is stronger

ArsenalManchester City

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.3% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
2.5 goals12.1% · 1.9512.8% · 1.85
3.5 goals7% · 3.418.2% · 1.3

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X55.5%
X244.5%

Match result

Arsenal2.25
Draw3.4
Manchester City3.25

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance55.5%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance44.5%
Odds1.62

Arsenal

Chance42.5%
Odds2.25

Draw

Chance28.1%
Odds3.4

Manchester City

Chance29.4%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.25

ArsenalManchester City
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Arsenal vs Manchester City: prediction & preview

England · League Cup · Sun, 22 Mar 2026

Arsenal meet Manchester City in the England, League Cup on 22 March 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 2.25. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 42.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Arsenal vs Manchester City FAQs

4 questions

What time is Arsenal vs Manchester City?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 22 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Arsenal vs Manchester City?

Arsenal is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.25. The margin-adjusted share is about 42.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.95 and under 2.5 is 1.85.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Arsenal vs Manchester City prediction, H2H and stats