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Arsenal vs Newcastle Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueSat, 25 Apr 2026

Arsenal

LDLWL

Sat, 25 Apr 202617:30

1 : 0

Full time

Newcastle

LLLLW

Pre-match win probability

66.6%Arsenal19.9%Draw13.5%Newcastle

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Arsenal

Arsenal vs Newcastle listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence66.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Arsenal 66.6%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • Newcastle 13.5%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

ArsenalNewcastle

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X70.2%
X229.8%

Match result

Arsenal1.42
Draw4.75
Newcastle7

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance70.2%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance29.8%
Odds2.62

Arsenal

Chance66.6%
Odds1.42

Draw

Chance19.9%
Odds4.75

Newcastle

Chance13.5%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.11

ArsenalNewcastle
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall83%17%

Arsenal vs Newcastle: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Sat, 25 Apr 2026

Arsenal meet Newcastle in the England, Premier League on 25 April 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Arsenal at 1.42. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Arsenal vs Newcastle FAQs

4 questions

What time is Arsenal vs Newcastle?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 25 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Arsenal vs Newcastle?

Arsenal is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.42. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Arsenal vs Newcastle prediction, H2H and stats