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AS Roma vs Atalanta Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASat, 18 Apr 2026

AS Roma

WLWDL

Sat, 18 Apr 202619:45

1 : 1

Full time

Atalanta

WWLLD

Pre-match win probability

39.5%AS Roma27.9%Draw32.7%Atalanta

Our prediction

Draw · AS Roma

AS Roma vs Atalanta listed tip from the board.

Odds3.4
Confidence39.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AS Roma 39.5%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Atalanta 32.7%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

AS RomaAtalanta
Goals scored (avg)
–1.6
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
–1.7

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

AS Roma0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Atalanta4W 1D 5L in last 10
    • 25 OctAtalanta4 – 4FrosinoneD
    • 22 OctAjax2 – 0AtalantaL
    • 18 OctAC Milan3 – 2AtalantaL
    • 15 OctAtalanta3 – 1PafosW
    • 12 OctAtalanta3 – 1VeneziaW
    H2H
    Head to headAS Roma 2W · 1D · Atalanta 6W · 2.2 goals a game
    • 5 SeptAS Roma2 – 1Atalanta
    • 3 JanAtalanta1 – 0AS Roma
    • 12 MayAtalanta2 – 1AS Roma
    • 2 DecAS Roma0 – 2Atalanta
    • 12 MayAtalanta2 – 1AS Roma
    • 7 JanAS Roma1 – 1Atalanta

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
    1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
    2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
    3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7%
    No44.3%

    Double chance

    1X51.7%
    X248.3%

    Match result

    AS Roma2.4
    Draw3.4
    Atalanta2.9

    Both teams to score

    Yes55.7% · 1.67
    No44.3% · 2.1

    1X

    Chance51.7%
    Odds1.4

    X2

    Chance48.3%
    Odds1.5

    AS Roma

    Chance39.5%
    Odds2.4

    Draw

    Chance27.9%
    Odds3.4

    Atalanta

    Chance32.7%
    Odds2.9

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Draw at 3.4

    AS RomaAtalanta
    Recent form7%93%
    Attack38%62%
    Defence43%57%
    Goals model38%62%
    Head-to-head28%72%
    Overall55%45%

    Trends

    Trend · Serie A

    Atalanta scored 1.6 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Atalanta conceded 1.7 per game in the last 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Failed to score in 2 of those 10.

    Trend · Serie A

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 10.

    AS Roma vs Atalanta: prediction & preview

    Italy · Serie A · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

    AS Roma meet Atalanta in the Italy, Serie A on 18 April 2026 at 19:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is AS Roma at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    AS Roma vs Atalanta FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is AS Roma vs Atalanta?

    Kickoff is 19:45 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on AS Roma vs Atalanta?

    AS Roma is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.