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AS Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueWed, 14 Oct 2026

AS Roma

DDWDW

Wed, 14 Oct 202620:00

3 : 4

Full time

Real Madrid

WLWWW

Pre-match win probability

26.4%AS Roma23.8%Draw49.8%Real Madrid

Our prediction

Away or Draw · AS Roma

AS Roma vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds1.28
Confidence49.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • AS Roma 26.4%
  • Draw 23.8%
  • Real Madrid 49.8%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

AS RomaReal Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.021.3% · 19
1.5 goals21.2% · 1.124% · 6
2.5 goals16.5% · 1.448.6% · 2.75
3.5 goals11.3% · 2.113.7% · 1.73

Both teams to score

Yes66.3%
No33.7%

Double chance

1X41.2%
X258.8%

Match result

AS Roma3.6
Draw4
Real Madrid1.91

Both teams to score

Yes66.3% · 1.4
No33.7% · 2.75

1X

Chance41.2%
Odds1.83

X2

Chance58.8%
Odds1.28

AS Roma

Chance26.4%
Odds3.6

Draw

Chance23.8%
Odds4

Real Madrid

Chance49.8%
Odds1.91

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.28

AS RomaReal Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall35%65%

AS Roma vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Wed, 14 Oct 2026

AS Roma meet Real Madrid in the World, UEFA Champions League on 14 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 1.91. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 49.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.44, about 65.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.4.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

AS Roma vs Real Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is AS Roma vs Real Madrid?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 14 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on AS Roma vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.91. The margin-adjusted share is about 49.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.44 and under 2.5 is 2.75.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.4. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

AS Roma vs Real Madrid prediction, H2H and stats