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Ascoli vs Livorno Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie C - Girone BFri, 30 Jan 2026

Ascoli

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Fri, 30 Jan 202620:30

3 : 1

Full time

Livorno

WWLLD

Pre-match win probability

54.2%Ascoli27.9%Draw17.9%Livorno

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Ascoli

Ascoli vs Livorno listed tip from the board.

Odds1.11
Confidence54.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Ascoli 54.2%
  • Draw 27.9%
  • Livorno 17.9%

Season statistics

Serie C - Girone B · highlighted side is stronger

AscoliLivorno

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals21.3% · 1.13.6% · 6.5
1.5 goals16.3% · 1.448.9% · 2.62
2.5 goals10% · 2.3514.9% · 1.57
3.5 goals5.4% · 4.3319.5% · 1.2

Both teams to score

Yes41.1%
No58.9%

Double chance

1X65.4%
X234.6%

Match result

Ascoli1.65
Draw3.2
Livorno5

Both teams to score

Yes41.1% · 2.25
No58.9% · 1.57

1X

Chance65.4%
Odds1.11

X2

Chance34.6%
Odds2.1

Ascoli

Chance54.2%
Odds1.65

Draw

Chance27.9%
Odds3.2

Livorno

Chance17.9%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.11

AscoliLivorno
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Ascoli vs Livorno: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie C - Girone B · Fri, 30 Jan 2026

Ascoli meet Livorno in the Italy, Serie C - Girone B on 30 January 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Ascoli at 1.65. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 54.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.57, about 59.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Ascoli vs Livorno FAQs

4 questions

What time is Ascoli vs Livorno?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 30 January 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Ascoli vs Livorno?

Ascoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.65. The margin-adjusted share is about 54.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.35 and under 2.5 is 1.57.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.25. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Ascoli vs Livorno prediction, H2H and stats