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Aston Villa vs Bologna Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 16 Apr 2026

Aston Villa

DWWWL

Thu, 16 Apr 202620:00

4 : 0

Full time

Bologna

WLWLD

Pre-match win probability

59.9%Aston Villa23%Draw17.1%Bologna

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Bologna listed tip from the board.

Odds1.14
Confidence59.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aston Villa 59.9%
  • Draw 23%
  • Bologna 17.1%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · highlighted side is stronger

Aston VillaBologna

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X66.9%
X233.1%

Match result

Aston Villa1.57
Draw4.1
Bologna5.5

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance66.9%
Odds1.14

X2

Chance33.1%
Odds2.3

Aston Villa

Chance59.9%
Odds1.57

Draw

Chance23%
Odds4.1

Bologna

Chance17.1%
Odds5.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.14

Aston VillaBologna
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall78%22%

Aston Villa vs Bologna: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 16 Apr 2026

Aston Villa meet Bologna in the World, UEFA Europa League on 16 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aston Villa at 1.57. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 59.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aston Villa vs Bologna FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aston Villa vs Bologna?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 16 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aston Villa vs Bologna?

Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.57. The margin-adjusted share is about 59.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aston Villa vs Bologna prediction, H2H and stats