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Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueWed, 11 Feb 2026

Aston Villa

DLWWW

Wed, 11 Feb 202620:30

1 : 0

Full time

Brighton

LDLDW

Pre-match win probability

48.7%Aston Villa25.7%Draw25.7%Brighton

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Brighton listed tip from the board.

Odds1.3
Confidence48.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aston Villa 48.7%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Brighton 25.7%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Aston VillaBrighton

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.8% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.6% · 1.53

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X58.1%
X241.9%

Match result

Aston Villa1.95
Draw3.7
Brighton3.7

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance58.1%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance41.9%
Odds1.8

Aston Villa

Chance48.7%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

Brighton

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.3

Aston VillaBrighton
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall65%35%

Aston Villa vs Brighton: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Wed, 11 Feb 2026

Aston Villa meet Brighton in the England, Premier League on 11 February 2026 at 20:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aston Villa at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aston Villa vs Brighton FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aston Villa vs Brighton?

Kickoff is 20:30 on 11 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aston Villa vs Brighton?

Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aston Villa vs Brighton prediction, H2H and stats