Aston Villa vs Lille Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Aston Villa

LWLLD

Thu, 19 Mar 202621:00

2 : 0

Full time

Lille

WLDWW

Pre-match win probability

56.7%Aston Villa24.1%Draw19.3%Lille

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Lille listed tip from the board.

Odds1.17
Confidence56.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aston Villa 56.7%
  • Draw 24.1%
  • Lille 19.3%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · highlighted side is stronger

Aston VillaLille

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7% · 3.418% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes50%
No50%

Double chance

1X65.3%
X234.7%

Match result

Aston Villa1.7
Draw4
Lille5

Both teams to score

Yes50% · 1.91
No50% · 1.91

1X

Chance65.3%
Odds1.17

X2

Chance34.7%
Odds2.2

Aston Villa

Chance56.7%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance24.1%
Odds4

Lille

Chance19.3%
Odds5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.17

Aston VillaLille
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall75%25%

Aston Villa vs Lille: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 19 Mar 2026

Aston Villa meet Lille in the World, UEFA Europa League on 19 March 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aston Villa at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 56.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.91.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aston Villa vs Lille FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aston Villa vs Lille?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 19 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aston Villa vs Lille?

Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 56.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.91. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aston Villa vs Lille prediction, H2H and stats