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Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

England · Premier LeagueFri, 15 May 2026

Aston Villa

DWLLL

Fri, 15 May 202620:00

4 : 2

Full time

Liverpool

DLWWL

Pre-match win probability

32.8%Aston Villa27%Draw40.2%Liverpool

Our prediction

Away or Draw · Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Liverpool listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence40.2%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aston Villa 32.8%
  • Draw 27%
  • Liverpool 40.2%

Season statistics

Premier League · highlighted side is stronger

Aston VillaLiverpool

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.225.5% · 4.33
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals8.7% · 2.7516.5% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Aston Villa2.88
Draw3.5
Liverpool2.35

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

Aston Villa

Chance32.8%
Odds2.88

Draw

Chance27%
Odds3.5

Liverpool

Chance40.2%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away or Draw at 1.4

Aston VillaLiverpool
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall45%55%

Aston Villa vs Liverpool: prediction & preview

England · Premier League · Fri, 15 May 2026

Aston Villa meet Liverpool in the England, Premier League on 15 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Liverpool at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.2% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aston Villa vs Liverpool FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aston Villa vs Liverpool?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 15 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aston Villa vs Liverpool?

Liverpool is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.2%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aston Villa vs Liverpool prediction, H2H and stats