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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Europa LeagueThu, 7 May 2026

Aston Villa

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Thu, 7 May 202620:00

4 : 0

Full time

Nottingham Forest

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

55.7%Aston Villa24.3%Draw20%Nottingham Forest

Our prediction

1-2 · Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest listed tip from the board.

Odds1.7
Confidence55.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aston Villa 55.7%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Nottingham Forest 20%

Season statistics

UEFA Europa League · highlighted side is stronger

Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7% · 3.418% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X64%
X236%

Match result

Aston Villa1.7
Draw3.9
Nottingham Forest4.75

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance64%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36%
Odds2.1

Aston Villa

Chance55.7%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.9

Nottingham Forest

Chance20%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1-2 at 1.7

Aston VillaNottingham Forest
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall74%26%

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Europa League · Thu, 7 May 2026

Aston Villa meet Nottingham Forest in the World, UEFA Europa League on 7 May 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aston Villa at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 7 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest prediction, H2H and stats