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Aston Villa vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · Friendlies ClubsTue, 28 Jul 2026

Aston Villa

Tue, 28 Jul 202619:30

2 : 4

Full time

Real Sociedad

Pre-match win probability

44.8%Aston Villa25.5%Draw29.6%Real Sociedad

Our prediction

Aston Villa

Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence44.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Aston Villa 44.8%
  • Draw 25.5%
  • Real Sociedad 29.6%

Season statistics

Friendlies Clubs · highlighted side is stronger

Aston VillaReal Sociedad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.042.6% · 9
1.5 goals19.5% · 1.25.4% · 4.33
2.5 goals14% · 1.6710.9% · 2.15
3.5 goals8.9% · 2.6216.2% · 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X58.1%
X241.9%

Match result

Aston Villa2.05
Draw3.6
Real Sociedad3.1

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance58.1%
Odds1.3

X2

Chance41.9%
Odds1.8

Aston Villa

Chance44.8%
Odds2.05

Draw

Chance25.5%
Odds3.6

Real Sociedad

Chance29.6%
Odds3.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Aston Villa at 2.05

Aston VillaReal Sociedad
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Aston Villa vs Real Sociedad: prediction & preview

World · Friendlies Clubs · Tue, 28 Jul 2026

Aston Villa meet Real Sociedad in the World, Friendlies Clubs on 28 July 2026 at 19:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–4.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Aston Villa at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Aston Villa vs Real Sociedad FAQs

4 questions

What time is Aston Villa vs Real Sociedad?

Kickoff is 19:30 on 28 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Aston Villa vs Real Sociedad?

Aston Villa is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.15.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Aston Villa vs Real Sociedad prediction, H2H and stats