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Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ATue, 28 Oct 2025

Atalanta

Tue, 28 Oct 202520:45

1 : 1

Full time

AC Milan

Pre-match win probability

36.4%Atalanta28.3%Draw35.3%AC Milan

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Atalanta

Atalanta vs AC Milan listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence36.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atalanta 36.4%
  • Draw 28.3%
  • AC Milan 35.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

AtalantaAC Milan

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.011.9% · 12.3
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.236.4% · 3.68
2.5 goals12.2% · 1.9211.6% · 2.03
3.5 goals7.8% · 317.7% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes57.1%
No42.9%

Double chance

1X50.3%
X249.7%

Match result

Atalanta2.71
Draw3.48
AC Milan2.79

Both teams to score

Yes57.1% · 1.63
No42.9% · 2.17

1X

Chance50.3%
Odds1.5

X2

Chance49.7%
Odds1.52

Atalanta

Chance36.4%
Odds2.71

Draw

Chance28.3%
Odds3.48

AC Milan

Chance35.3%
Odds2.79

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.5

AtalantaAC Milan
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall51%49%

Atalanta vs AC Milan: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Tue, 28 Oct 2025

Atalanta meet AC Milan in the Italy, Serie A on 28 October 2025 at 20:45 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atalanta at 2.71. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 36.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.92, about 51.4% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.63.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atalanta vs AC Milan FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atalanta vs AC Milan?

Kickoff is 20:45 on 28 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atalanta vs AC Milan?

Atalanta is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.71. The margin-adjusted share is about 36.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.92 and under 2.5 is 2.03.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.63. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atalanta vs AC Milan prediction, H2H and stats