Atalanta vs Chelsea Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Atalanta

LWWWL

Tue, 9 Dec 202521:00

2 : 1

Full time

Chelsea

DLDWW

Pre-match win probability

28%Atalanta27.2%Draw44.8%Chelsea

Our prediction

Draw · Atalanta

Atalanta vs Chelsea listed tip from the board.

Odds3.3
Confidence44.8%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atalanta 28%
  • Draw 27.2%
  • Chelsea 44.8%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

AtalantaChelsea

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals19.1% · 1.256% · 4
2.5 goals13.2% · 1.811.9% · 2
3.5 goals7.4% · 3.217.5% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X44.3%
X255.7%

Match result

Atalanta3.2
Draw3.3
Chelsea2

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

X2

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

Atalanta

Chance28%
Odds3.2

Draw

Chance27.2%
Odds3.3

Chelsea

Chance44.8%
Odds2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.3

AtalantaChelsea
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall38%62%

Atalanta vs Chelsea: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 9 Dec 2025

Atalanta meet Chelsea in the World, UEFA Champions League on 9 December 2025 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Chelsea at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.8% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atalanta vs Chelsea FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atalanta vs Chelsea?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 9 December 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atalanta vs Chelsea?

Chelsea is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.8%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atalanta vs Chelsea prediction, H2H and stats