Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie ASun, 22 Feb 2026

Atalanta

LWWWD

Sun, 22 Feb 202615:00

2 : 1

Full time

Napoli

DDWWL

Pre-match win probability

39.4%Atalanta31.5%Draw29.1%Napoli

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Atalanta

Atalanta vs Napoli listed tip from the board.

Odds1.33
Confidence39.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atalanta 39.4%
  • Draw 31.5%
  • Napoli 29.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

AtalantaNapoli

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.083% · 8
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals10.8% · 2.214.3% · 1.67
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X53.5%
X246.5%

Match result

Atalanta2.4
Draw3
Napoli3.25

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance53.5%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance46.5%
Odds1.53

Atalanta

Chance39.4%
Odds2.4

Draw

Chance31.5%
Odds3

Napoli

Chance29.1%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.33

AtalantaNapoli
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall58%42%

Atalanta vs Napoli: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie A · Sun, 22 Feb 2026

Atalanta meet Napoli in the Italy, Serie A on 22 February 2026 at 15:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atalanta at 2.4. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atalanta vs Napoli FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atalanta vs Napoli?

Kickoff is 15:00 on 22 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atalanta vs Napoli?

Atalanta is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.4. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.67.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atalanta vs Napoli prediction, H2H and stats