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Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 5 Sept 2026

Athletic Club

Sat, 5 Sept 202615:15

3 : 0

Full time

Atletico Madrid

Pre-match win probability

31.4%Athletic Club28.5%Draw40.1%Atletico Madrid

Our prediction

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.35
Confidence40.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Athletic Club 31.4%
  • Draw 28.5%
  • Atletico Madrid 40.1%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X46.4%
X253.6%

Match result

Athletic Club3
Draw3.3
Atletico Madrid2.35

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance46.4%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance53.6%
Odds1.36

Athletic Club

Chance31.4%
Odds3

Draw

Chance28.5%
Odds3.3

Atletico Madrid

Chance40.1%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Atletico Madrid at 2.35

Athletic ClubAtletico Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall44%56%

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 5 Sept 2026

Athletic Club meet Atletico Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 5 September 2026 at 15:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 40.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid?

Kickoff is 15:15 on 5 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 40.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Athletic Club vs Atletico Madrid prediction, H2H and stats