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Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Copa del ReyWed, 11 Feb 2026

Athletic Club

WWDLL

Wed, 11 Feb 202621:00

0 : 1

Full time

Real Sociedad

WWDWW

Pre-match win probability

41.4%Athletic Club29.3%Draw29.3%Real Sociedad

Our prediction

Away · Athletic Club

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad listed tip from the board.

Odds3.25
Confidence41.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Athletic Club 41.4%
  • Draw 29.3%
  • Real Sociedad 29.3%

Season statistics

Copa del Rey · highlighted side is stronger

Athletic ClubReal Sociedad

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.3% · 1.367.9% · 3
2.5 goals10.7% · 2.214.3% · 1.65
3.5 goals5.9% · 419.3% · 1.22

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X54.1%
X245.9%

Match result

Athletic Club2.3
Draw3.25
Real Sociedad3.25

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance54.1%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance45.9%
Odds1.57

Athletic Club

Chance41.4%
Odds2.3

Draw

Chance29.3%
Odds3.25

Real Sociedad

Chance29.3%
Odds3.25

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 3.25

Athletic ClubReal Sociedad
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall59%41%

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad: prediction & preview

Spain · Copa del Rey · Wed, 11 Feb 2026

Athletic Club meet Real Sociedad in the Spain, Copa del Rey on 11 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Athletic Club at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.65, about 57.1% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad FAQs

4 questions

What time is Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 11 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad?

Athletic Club is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.2 and under 2.5 is 1.65.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Athletic Club vs Real Sociedad prediction, H2H and stats