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Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

USA · Major League SoccerSat, 14 Mar 2026

Atlanta United FC

LLLDW

Sat, 14 Mar 202620:15

3 : 1

Full time

Philadelphia Union

LLLWL

Pre-match win probability

33.2%Atlanta United FC27.3%Draw39.5%Philadelphia Union

Our prediction

Draw · Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union listed tip from the board.

Odds3.4
Confidence39.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atlanta United FC 33.2%
  • Draw 27.3%
  • Philadelphia Union 39.5%

Season statistics

Major League Soccer · highlighted side is stronger

Atlanta United FCPhiladelphia Union

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.6% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals19.3% · 1.225.9% · 4
2.5 goals13.4% · 1.7511.5% · 2.05
3.5 goals8.6% · 2.7516.8% · 1.4

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Atlanta United FC2.8
Draw3.4
Philadelphia Union2.35

Both teams to score

Yes57.6% · 1.62
No42.4% · 2.2

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

Atlanta United FC

Chance33.2%
Odds2.8

Draw

Chance27.3%
Odds3.4

Philadelphia Union

Chance39.5%
Odds2.35

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.4

Atlanta United FCPhiladelphia Union
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall46%54%

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union: prediction & preview

USA · Major League Soccer · Sat, 14 Mar 2026

Atlanta United FC meet Philadelphia Union in the USA, Major League Soccer on 14 March 2026 at 20:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Philadelphia Union at 2.35. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 39.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.75, about 53.9% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.62.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union?

Kickoff is 20:15 on 14 March 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union?

Philadelphia Union is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.35. The margin-adjusted share is about 39.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.75 and under 2.5 is 2.05.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.62. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union prediction, H2H and stats