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Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXSun, 11 Oct 2026

Atlas

Sun, 11 Oct 202602:00

1 : 1

Full time

Guadalajara Chivas

Pre-match win probability

27.2%Atlas26.4%Draw46.4%Guadalajara Chivas

Our prediction

Guadalajara Chivas

Guadalajara Chivas is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.05
Confidence46.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atlas 27.2%
  • Draw 26.4%
  • Guadalajara Chivas 46.4%

Season statistics

Liga MX · highlighted side is stronger

AtlasGuadalajara Chivas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.7% · 1.042% · 12
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals13.1% · 1.811.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Double chance

1X42.5%
X257.5%

Match result

Atlas3.5
Draw3.6
Guadalajara Chivas2.05

Both teams to score

Yes55.7% · 1.67
No44.3% · 2.1

1X

Chance42.5%
Odds1.73

X2

Chance57.5%
Odds1.28

Atlas

Chance27.2%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance26.4%
Odds3.6

Guadalajara Chivas

Chance46.4%
Odds2.05

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Guadalajara Chivas at 2.05

AtlasGuadalajara Chivas
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall37%63%

Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Sun, 11 Oct 2026

Atlas meet Guadalajara Chivas in the Mexico, Liga MX on 11 October 2026 at 02:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Guadalajara Chivas at 2.05. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 46.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.8, about 52.6% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.67.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Kickoff is 02:00 on 11 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas?

Guadalajara Chivas is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.05. The margin-adjusted share is about 46.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.8 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.67. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction, H2H and stats