Atlas vs Puebla Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Mexico · Liga MXMon, 26 Oct 2026

Atlas

4th in table · 24 pts

DWDWL

Mon, 26 Oct 202600:00

4 : 3

Full time

Puebla

14th in table · 16 pts

DLDDL

Pre-match win probability

55.4%Atlas24.8%Draw19.8%Puebla

Our prediction

1X · Atlas

Atlas vs Puebla listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence55.4%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atlas 55.4%
  • Draw 24.8%
  • Puebla 19.8%

Season statistics

Liga MX · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

AtlasPuebla
Goals scored (avg)
1.70.8
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
21.3
Wins
74
Played
1414

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atlas3W 3D 3L in last 9
  • 22 OctAtlas2 – 5Club AmericaL
  • 17 OctNecaxa0 – 2AtlasW
  • 11 OctAtlas1 – 1Guadalajara ChivasD
  • 26 SeptClub Tijuana2 – 3AtlasW
  • 20 SeptAtlas1 – 1U.N.A.M. - PumasD
Puebla2W 3D 4L in last 9
  • 22 OctPuebla1 – 4MonterreyL
  • 17 OctClub Tijuana0 – 0PueblaD
  • 10 OctPuebla1 – 1LeonD
  • 27 SeptTigres UANL1 – 0PueblaL
  • 19 SeptPuebla1 – 1Atlante FCD
H2H
Head to headAtlas 5W · 2D · Puebla 2W · 4 goals a game
  • 10 JulAtlas3 – 4Puebla
  • 10 JanAtlas1 – 0Puebla
  • 12 JulPuebla2 – 3Atlas
  • 16 FebAtlas3 – 2Puebla
  • 20 JulPuebla1 – 2Atlas
  • 9 MarPuebla2 – 2Atlas

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.052.1% · 11
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.3% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.8% · 1.8512.1% · 1.95
3.5 goals7.9% · 317.4% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes52%
No48%

Double chance

1X64%
X236%

Match result

Atlas1.7
Draw3.8
Puebla4.75

Both teams to score

Yes52% · 1.8
No48% · 1.95

1X

Chance64%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance36%
Odds2.1

Atlas

Chance55.4%
Odds1.7

Draw

Chance24.8%
Odds3.8

Puebla

Chance19.8%
Odds4.75

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: 1X at 1.18

AtlasPuebla
Recent form57%43%
Attack68%32%
Defence37%63%
Goals model68%32%
Head-to-head67%33%
Overall74%26%

Trends

Trend · Liga MX

Atlas scored 1.7 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga MX

Atlas conceded 2 per game in the last 9.

Trend · Liga MX

Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

Trend · Liga MX

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of those 9.

Atlas vs Puebla: prediction & preview

Mexico · Liga MX · Mon, 26 Oct 2026

Atlas meet Puebla in the Mexico, Liga MX on 26 October 2026 at 00:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–3.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atlas at 1.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 55.4% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.85, about 51.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atlas vs Puebla FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atlas vs Puebla?

Kickoff is 00:00 on 26 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atlas vs Puebla?

Atlas is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 55.4%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.85 and under 2.5 is 1.95.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.