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Atletico Ascoli vs Castelfidardo Calcio Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Italy · Serie D - Girone FSun, 15 Feb 2026

Atletico Ascoli

LLWWD

Sun, 15 Feb 202614:30

3 : 1

Full time

Castelfidardo Calcio

DDLLL

Pre-match win probability

66.7%Atletico Ascoli19.7%Draw13.6%Castelfidardo Calcio

Our prediction

Atletico Ascoli

Atletico Ascoli is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.33
Confidence66.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Ascoli 66.7%
  • Draw 19.7%
  • Castelfidardo Calcio 13.6%

Season statistics

Serie D - Girone F · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico AscoliCastelfidardo Calcio
Goals scored (avg)
1.31.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.11.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Ascoli4W 3D 3L in last 10
  • 25 OctTermoli Calcio0 – 0Atletico AscoliD
  • 18 OctAtletico Ascoli5 – 1Lanciano FCW
  • 11 OctVigor Senigallia1 – 2Atletico AscoliW
  • 4 OctAtletico Ascoli0 – 1FossombroneL
  • 27 SeptReal Giulianova4 – 2Atletico AscoliL
Castelfidardo Calcio3W 2D 5L in last 10
  • 3 MayCastelfidardo Calcio0 – 2SoraL
  • 26 AprFossombrone3 – 1Castelfidardo CalcioL
  • 19 AprCastelfidardo Calcio1 – 3Vigor SenigalliaL
  • 12 AprReal Giulianova0 – 0Castelfidardo CalcioD
  • 2 AprCastelfidardo Calcio2 – 2MacerateseD
H2H
Head to headAtletico Ascoli 3W · 0D · Castelfidardo Calcio 0W · 3.7 goals a game
  • 12 OctCastelfidardo Calcio1 – 6Atletico Ascoli
  • 2 MarAtletico Ascoli1 – 0Castelfidardo Calcio
  • 27 OctCastelfidardo Calcio1 – 2Atletico Ascoli

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
2.5 goals54.6% · 1.7345.4% · 2.08

Double chance

1X72.9%
X227.1%

Match result

Atletico Ascoli1.33
Draw4.5
Castelfidardo Calcio6.5

No BTTS prices stored.

1X

Chance72.9%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance27.1%
Odds2.88

Atletico Ascoli

Chance66.7%
Odds1.33

Draw

Chance19.7%
Odds4.5

Castelfidardo Calcio

Chance13.6%
Odds6.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Atletico Ascoli at 1.33

Atletico AscoliCastelfidardo Calcio
Recent form58%42%
Attack52%48%
Defence61%39%
Goals model52%48%
Head-to-head100%0%
Overall83%17%

Trends

Trend · Serie D - Girone F

Atletico Ascoli scored 1.3 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie D - Girone F

Atletico Ascoli conceded 1.1 per game in the last 10.

Trend · Serie D - Girone F

Failed to score in 4 of those 10.

Trend · Serie D - Girone F

Kept a clean sheet in 3 of those 10.

Atletico Ascoli vs Castelfidardo Calcio: prediction & preview

Italy · Serie D - Girone F · Sun, 15 Feb 2026

Atletico Ascoli meet Castelfidardo Calcio in the Italy, Serie D - Girone F on 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Ascoli at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 66.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.6% after the margin).

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Ascoli vs Castelfidardo Calcio FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Ascoli vs Castelfidardo Calcio?

Kickoff is 14:30 on 15 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Ascoli vs Castelfidardo Calcio?

Atletico Ascoli is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 66.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.08.

Do both teams score on this match?

A both-teams-to-score price is not stored for this match.