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Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Argentina · Primera NacionalSat, 19 Sept 2026

Atletico DE Rafaela

11th in table · 46 pts

LLLWD

Sat, 19 Sept 202620:00

4 : 2

Full time

San Martin Tucuman

10th in table · 46 pts

Pre-match win probability

34.5%Atletico DE Rafaela33.2%Draw32.3%San Martin Tucuman

Our prediction

Atletico DE Rafaela

Atletico DE Rafaela is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds2.7
Confidence34.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico DE Rafaela 34.5%
  • Draw 33.2%
  • San Martin Tucuman 32.3%

Season statistics

Primera Nacional · 9 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico DE RafaelaSan Martin Tucuman
Goals scored (avg)
0.8–
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
1.6–
Wins
1211
Played
3535

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico DE Rafaela2W 2D 5L in last 9
  • 25 OctColegiales1 – 1Atletico DE RafaelaD
  • 17 OctAtletico DE Rafaela1 – 0QuilmesW
  • 10 OctMidland4 – 0Atletico DE RafaelaL
  • 4 OctAtletico DE Rafaela2 – 3AtlantaL
  • 27 SeptGimnasia Y Tiro1 – 0Atletico DE RafaelaL
San Martin Tucuman0W 0D 0L in last 0
    H2H
    Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

    Betting markets

    Bookmaker prices with margin removed

    Goal lineOverUnder
    0.5 goals20.1% · 1.174.7% · 5
    1.5 goals14.1% · 1.6711.2% · 2.1
    2.5 goals7.6% · 3.117.3% · 1.36
    3.5 goals3.6% · 6.521.2% · 1.11

    Both teams to score

    Yes37.5%
    No62.5%

    Double chance

    1X51.4%
    X248.6%

    Match result

    Atletico DE Rafaela2.7
    Draw2.8
    San Martin Tucuman2.88

    Both teams to score

    Yes37.5% · 2.5
    No62.5% · 1.5

    1X

    Chance51.4%
    Odds1.36

    X2

    Chance48.6%
    Odds1.44

    Atletico DE Rafaela

    Chance34.5%
    Odds2.7

    Draw

    Chance33.2%
    Odds2.8

    San Martin Tucuman

    Chance32.3%
    Odds2.88

    No half-time prices stored.

    No corner prices stored.

    Model comparison

    Our pick: Atletico DE Rafaela at 2.7

    Atletico DE RafaelaSan Martin Tucuman
    Recent form89%11%
    Attack44%56%
    Defence58%42%
    Goals model44%56%
    Overall52%48%

    Trends

    Trend · Primera Nacional

    Atletico DE Rafaela scored 0.8 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera Nacional

    Atletico DE Rafaela conceded 1.6 per game in the last 9.

    Trend · Primera Nacional

    Failed to score in 4 of those 9.

    Trend · Primera Nacional

    Kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 9.

    Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman: prediction & preview

    Argentina · Primera Nacional · Sat, 19 Sept 2026

    Atletico DE Rafaela meet San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina, Primera Nacional on 19 September 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

    On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico DE Rafaela at 2.7. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 34.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

    The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.36, about 69.5% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.5.

    Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

    Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman FAQs

    4 questions

    What time is Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman?

    Kickoff is 20:00 on 19 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

    Which outcome is shortest on Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman?

    Atletico DE Rafaela is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.7. The margin-adjusted share is about 34.5%.

    What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

    Over 2.5 is 3.1 and under 2.5 is 1.36.

    Do both teams score on this match?

    Both teams to score is priced at 2.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.