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Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 25 Apr 2026

Atletico Madrid

LDLLW

Sat, 25 Apr 202620:00

3 : 2

Full time

Athletic Club

WLLWL

Pre-match win probability

44.1%Atletico Madrid26.3%Draw29.6%Athletic Club

Our prediction

Draw · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club listed tip from the board.

Odds3.6
Confidence44.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 44.1%
  • Draw 26.3%
  • Athletic Club 29.6%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridAthletic Club

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.8% · 1.052.2% · 11
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.6% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Double chance

1X58.4%
X241.6%

Match result

Atletico Madrid2.15
Draw3.6
Athletic Club3.2

Both teams to score

Yes53.3% · 1.75
No46.7% · 2

1X

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

Atletico Madrid

Chance44.1%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance26.3%
Odds3.6

Athletic Club

Chance29.6%
Odds3.2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 3.6

Atletico MadridAthletic Club
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 25 Apr 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Athletic Club in the Spain, La Liga on 25 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 25 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.75. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club prediction, H2H and stats