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Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Copa del ReyThu, 12 Feb 2026

Atletico Madrid

LWDLW

Thu, 12 Feb 202621:00

4 : 0

Full time

Barcelona

WWWWW

Pre-match win probability

33%Atletico Madrid25.7%Draw41.3%Barcelona

Our prediction

X2 · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona listed tip from the board.

Odds1.4
Confidence41.3%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 33%
  • Draw 25.7%
  • Barcelona 41.3%

Season statistics

Copa del Rey · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridBarcelona

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.3% · 1.174.7% · 5
2.5 goals14.8% · 1.610.3% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.5% · 2.515.8% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X47.1%
X252.9%

Match result

Atletico Madrid2.88
Draw3.7
Barcelona2.3

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance47.1%
Odds1.57

X2

Chance52.9%
Odds1.4

Atletico Madrid

Chance33%
Odds2.88

Draw

Chance25.7%
Odds3.7

Barcelona

Chance41.3%
Odds2.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: X2 at 1.4

Atletico MadridBarcelona
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall44%56%

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona: prediction & preview

Spain · Copa del Rey · Thu, 12 Feb 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Barcelona in the Spain, Copa del Rey on 12 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Barcelona at 2.3. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 41.3% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.6, about 59% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 12 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?

Barcelona is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.3. The margin-adjusted share is about 41.3%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.6 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction, H2H and stats