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Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 9 May 2026

Atletico Madrid

LWDWL

Sat, 9 May 202617:30

0 : 1

Full time

Celta Vigo

WLLLL

Pre-match win probability

44.1%Atletico Madrid27.1%Draw28.8%Celta Vigo

Our prediction

Home · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo listed tip from the board.

Odds2.15
Confidence44.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 44.1%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Celta Vigo 28.8%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridCelta Vigo

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals13.8% · 1.7311.3% · 2.1
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X55.7%
X244.3%

Match result

Atletico Madrid2.15
Draw3.5
Celta Vigo3.3

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance55.7%
Odds1.33

X2

Chance44.3%
Odds1.67

Atletico Madrid

Chance44.1%
Odds2.15

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

Celta Vigo

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 2.15

Atletico MadridCelta Vigo
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall60%40%

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 9 May 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Celta Vigo in the Spain, La Liga on 9 May 2026 at 17:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 0–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 2.15. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 44.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.73, about 54.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo?

Kickoff is 17:30 on 9 May 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 2.15. The margin-adjusted share is about 44.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.73 and under 2.5 is 2.1.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction, H2H and stats