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Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 21 Feb 2026

Atletico Madrid

WWWDW

Sat, 21 Feb 202621:00

4 : 2

Full time

Espanyol

LDLLL

Pre-match win probability

62.9%Atletico Madrid23.6%Draw13.5%Espanyol

Our prediction

Home · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol listed tip from the board.

Odds1.5
Confidence62.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 62.9%
  • Draw 23.6%
  • Espanyol 13.5%

Season statistics

La Liga · 10 matches each · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridEspanyol
Goals scored (avg)
1.71.2
Goals conceded (avg)Lower is better
0.81.8

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Madrid7W 1D 2L in last 10
  • 24 OctAtletico Madrid1 – 0Deportivo La CorunaW
  • 20 OctVfB Stuttgart1 – 1Atletico MadridD
  • 17 OctEspanyol0 – 1Atletico MadridW
  • 13 OctAtletico Madrid2 – 0Manchester UnitedW
  • 10 OctAlaves1 – 2Atletico MadridW
Espanyol1W 2D 7L in last 10
  • 27 OctSestao River4 – 3EspanyolL
  • 24 OctRacing Santander2 – 1EspanyolL
  • 17 OctEspanyol0 – 1Atletico MadridL
  • 9 OctMalaga1 – 1EspanyolD
  • 18 SeptEspanyol1 – 3ElcheL
H2H
Head to headAtletico Madrid 3W · 5D · Espanyol 1W · 2.4 goals a game
  • 17 OctEspanyol0 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 17 AugEspanyol2 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 29 MarEspanyol1 – 1Atletico Madrid
  • 28 AugAtletico Madrid0 – 0Espanyol
  • 24 MayEspanyol3 – 3Atletico Madrid
  • 6 NovAtletico Madrid1 – 1Espanyol

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.7% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.5% · 1.9112.5% · 1.91
3.5 goals7% · 3.418% · 1.33

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Double chance

1X69.4%
X230.6%

Match result

Atletico Madrid1.5
Draw4
Espanyol7

Both teams to score

Yes46.7% · 2
No53.3% · 1.75

1X

Chance69.4%
Odds1.1

X2

Chance30.6%
Odds2.5

Atletico Madrid

Chance62.9%
Odds1.5

Draw

Chance23.6%
Odds4

Espanyol

Chance13.5%
Odds7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.5

Atletico MadridEspanyol
Recent form81%19%
Attack59%41%
Defence65%35%
Goals model59%41%
Head-to-head61%39%
Overall82%18%

Trends

Trend · La Liga

Atletico Madrid scored 1.7 per game in the last 10.

Trend · La Liga

Atletico Madrid conceded 0.8 per game in the last 10.

Trend · La Liga

Failed to score in 1 of those 10.

Trend · La Liga

Kept a clean sheet in 5 of those 10.

Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 21 Feb 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Espanyol in the Spain, La Liga on 21 February 2026 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 4–2.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.5. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 62.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.91, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.75.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 21 February 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Madrid vs Espanyol?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.5. The margin-adjusted share is about 62.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.91 and under 2.5 is 1.91.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.