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Atletico Madrid vs Malaga Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaWed, 19 Aug 2026

Atletico Madrid

WLLW

Wed, 19 Aug 202620:00

2 : 0

Full time

Malaga

DLWDD

Pre-match win probability

71.1%Atletico Madrid18.9%Draw10%Malaga

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga listed tip from the board.

Odds1.07
Confidence71.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 71.1%
  • Draw 18.9%
  • Malaga 10%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridMalaga

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.2% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.7% · 1.6210.4% · 2.3
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X73.7%
X226.3%

Match result

Atletico Madrid1.33
Draw5
Malaga9.5

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance73.7%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance26.3%
Odds3

Atletico Madrid

Chance71.1%
Odds1.33

Draw

Chance18.9%
Odds5

Malaga

Chance10%
Odds9.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.07

Atletico MadridMalaga
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall88%12%

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Wed, 19 Aug 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Malaga in the Spain, La Liga on 19 August 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.33. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 71.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.62, about 58.7% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Madrid vs Malaga?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 19 August 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Madrid vs Malaga?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.33. The margin-adjusted share is about 71.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.62 and under 2.5 is 2.3.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico Madrid vs Malaga prediction, H2H and stats