Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Atletico Madrid

Tue, 13 Oct 202620:00

2 : 0

Full time

Manchester United

Pre-match win probability

52.6%Atletico Madrid24.3%Draw23.1%Manchester United

Our prediction

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price in the stored market.

Odds1.8
Confidence52.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 52.6%
  • Draw 24.3%
  • Manchester United 23.1%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridManchester United

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.9% · 1.041.8% · 13
1.5 goals19.9% · 1.25.3% · 4.5
2.5 goals14.3% · 1.6710.8% · 2.2
3.5 goals9.1% · 2.6215.9% · 1.5

Both teams to score

Yes58.9%
No41.1%

Double chance

1X59.4%
X240.6%

Match result

Atletico Madrid1.8
Draw3.9
Manchester United4.1

Both teams to score

Yes58.9% · 1.57
No41.1% · 2.25

1X

Chance59.4%
Odds1.25

X2

Chance40.6%
Odds1.83

Atletico Madrid

Chance52.6%
Odds1.8

Draw

Chance24.3%
Odds3.9

Manchester United

Chance23.1%
Odds4.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Atletico Madrid at 1.8

Atletico MadridManchester United
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall69%31%

Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 13 Oct 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Manchester United in the World, UEFA Champions League on 13 October 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 52.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.67, about 56.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.57.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 13 October 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 52.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.67 and under 2.5 is 2.2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.57. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United prediction, H2H and stats