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Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSat, 18 Oct 2025

Atletico Madrid

Sat, 18 Oct 202520:00

1 : 0

Full time

Osasuna

Pre-match win probability

70.9%Atletico Madrid19.9%Draw9.2%Osasuna

Our prediction

Home · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna listed tip from the board.

Odds1.39
Confidence70.9%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 70.9%
  • Draw 19.9%
  • Osasuna 9.2%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridOsasuna

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.021.8% · 12.9
1.5 goals18.9% · 1.256.7% · 3.52
2.5 goals12.2% · 1.9411.8% · 2
3.5 goals7.7% · 3.0617.9% · 1.32

Both teams to score

Yes43%
No57%

Double chance

1X75.5%
X224.5%

Match result

Atletico Madrid1.39
Draw4.94
Osasuna10.7

Both teams to score

Yes43% · 2.16
No57% · 1.63

1X

Chance75.5%
Odds1.06

X2

Chance24.5%
Odds3.26

Atletico Madrid

Chance70.9%
Odds1.39

Draw

Chance19.9%
Odds4.94

Osasuna

Chance9.2%
Odds10.7

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.39

Atletico MadridOsasuna
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall89%11%

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sat, 18 Oct 2025

Atletico Madrid meet Osasuna in the Spain, La Liga on 18 October 2025 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.39. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 70.9% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.94, about 50.8% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.63.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?

Kickoff is 20:00 on 18 October 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.39. The margin-adjusted share is about 70.9%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.94 and under 2.5 is 2.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 2.16. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna prediction, H2H and stats