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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · La LigaSun, 20 Sept 2026

Atletico Madrid

WWLLW

Sun, 20 Sept 202615:15

2 : 1

Full time

Real Madrid

WWWLW

Pre-match win probability

27.2%Atletico Madrid25.1%Draw47.7%Real Madrid

Our prediction

Away · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid listed tip from the board.

Odds2
Confidence47.7%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 27.2%
  • Draw 25.1%
  • Real Madrid 47.7%

Season statistics

La Liga · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridReal Madrid

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.1% · 1.031.6% · 15
1.5 goals20.4% · 1.174.8% · 5
2.5 goals15.6% · 1.539.5% · 2.5
3.5 goals10.4% · 2.314.7% · 1.62

Both teams to score

Yes62.5%
No37.5%

Double chance

1X41.6%
X258.4%

Match result

Atletico Madrid3.5
Draw3.8
Real Madrid2

Both teams to score

Yes62.5% · 1.5
No37.5% · 2.5

1X

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

X2

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

Atletico Madrid

Chance27.2%
Odds3.5

Draw

Chance25.1%
Odds3.8

Real Madrid

Chance47.7%
Odds2

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Away at 2

Atletico MadridReal Madrid
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall36%64%

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: prediction & preview

Spain · La Liga · Sun, 20 Sept 2026

Atletico Madrid meet Real Madrid in the Spain, La Liga on 20 September 2026 at 15:15 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Real Madrid at 2. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 47.7% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.53, about 62% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.5.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Kickoff is 15:15 on 20 September 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 2. The margin-adjusted share is about 47.7%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.53 and under 2.5 is 2.5.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.5. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction, H2H and stats