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Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Spain · Copa del ReySat, 18 Apr 2026

Atletico Madrid

LLWLL

Sat, 18 Apr 202620:00

2 : 2

Full time

Real Sociedad

DWLWL

Pre-match win probability

51.6%Atletico Madrid25.8%Draw22.6%Real Sociedad

Our prediction

Away · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad listed tip from the board.

Odds4.1
Confidence51.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 51.6%
  • Draw 25.8%
  • Real Sociedad 22.6%

Season statistics

Copa del Rey · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridReal Sociedad

Recent form

Last matches · newest first

Atletico Madrid0W 0D 0L in last 0
    Real Sociedad0W 0D 0L in last 0
      H2H
      Head to headNo previous meetings found between these sides.

      Betting markets

      Bookmaker prices with margin removed

      Goal lineOverUnder
      0.5 goals22.6% · 1.052.2% · 11
      1.5 goals18.5% · 1.286.8% · 3.5
      2.5 goals12.5% · 1.912.5% · 1.9
      3.5 goals7.3% · 3.2517.8% · 1.33

      Both teams to score

      Yes52%
      No48%

      Double chance

      1X61.5%
      X238.5%

      Match result

      Atletico Madrid1.8
      Draw3.6
      Real Sociedad4.1

      Both teams to score

      Yes52% · 1.8
      No48% · 1.95

      1X

      Chance61.5%
      Odds1.22

      X2

      Chance38.5%
      Odds1.95

      Atletico Madrid

      Chance51.6%
      Odds1.8

      Draw

      Chance25.8%
      Odds3.6

      Real Sociedad

      Chance22.6%
      Odds4.1

      No half-time prices stored.

      No corner prices stored.

      Model comparison

      Our pick: Away at 4.1

      Atletico MadridReal Sociedad
      Recent form50%50%
      Attack50%50%
      Defence50%50%
      Goals model50%50%
      Overall70%30%

      Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad: prediction & preview

      Spain · Copa del Rey · Sat, 18 Apr 2026

      Atletico Madrid meet Real Sociedad in the Spain, Copa del Rey on 18 April 2026 at 20:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–2.

      On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.8. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 51.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

      The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.8.

      Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

      Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad FAQs

      4 questions

      What time is Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

      Kickoff is 20:00 on 18 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

      Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

      Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.8. The margin-adjusted share is about 51.6%.

      What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

      Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

      Do both teams score on this match?

      Both teams to score is priced at 1.8. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.