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Atletico Madrid vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

World · UEFA Champions LeagueTue, 4 Nov 2025

Atletico Madrid

Tue, 4 Nov 202521:00

3 : 1

Full time

Union St. Gilloise

Pre-match win probability

74.5%Atletico Madrid15.7%Draw9.7%Union St. Gilloise

Our prediction

Draw · Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid vs Union St. Gilloise listed tip from the board.

Odds6.25
Confidence74.5%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico Madrid 74.5%
  • Draw 15.7%
  • Union St. Gilloise 9.7%

Season statistics

UEFA Champions League · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico MadridUnion St. Gilloise

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals23.3% · 1.011.1% · 21
1.5 goals21.2% · 1.114.8% · 4.9
2.5 goals16.1% · 1.469.5% · 2.49
3.5 goals10.2% · 2.313.7% · 1.72

Both teams to score

Yes49.2%
No50.8%

Double chance

1X77.7%
X222.3%

Match result

Atletico Madrid1.32
Draw6.25
Union St. Gilloise10.1

Both teams to score

Yes49.2% · 1.89
No50.8% · 1.83

1X

Chance77.7%
Odds1.07

X2

Chance22.3%
Odds3.72

Atletico Madrid

Chance74.5%
Odds1.32

Draw

Chance15.7%
Odds6.25

Union St. Gilloise

Chance9.7%
Odds10.1

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Draw at 6.25

Atletico MadridUnion St. Gilloise
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall88%12%

Atletico Madrid vs Union St. Gilloise: prediction & preview

World · UEFA Champions League · Tue, 4 Nov 2025

Atletico Madrid meet Union St. Gilloise in the World, UEFA Champions League on 4 November 2025 at 21:00 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 3–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico Madrid at 1.32. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 74.5% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.46, about 63% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.83.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico Madrid vs Union St. Gilloise FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico Madrid vs Union St. Gilloise?

Kickoff is 21:00 on 4 November 2025, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico Madrid vs Union St. Gilloise?

Atletico Madrid is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.32. The margin-adjusted share is about 74.5%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.46 and under 2.5 is 2.49.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.89. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.