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Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ASun, 5 Apr 2026

Atletico-MG

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Sun, 5 Apr 202621:30

2 : 1

Full time

Atletico Paranaense

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Pre-match win probability

50.1%Atletico-MG28.8%Draw21.1%Atletico Paranaense

Our prediction

Home or Draw · Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense listed tip from the board.

Odds1.18
Confidence50.1%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 50.1%
  • Draw 28.8%
  • Atletico Paranaense 21.1%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGAtletico Paranaense

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.2% · 1.072.6% · 9
1.5 goals17.5% · 1.367.4% · 3.2
2.5 goals11.3% · 2.114% · 1.7
3.5 goals5.9% · 419% · 1.25

Both teams to score

Yes48%
No52%

Double chance

1X61.8%
X238.2%

Match result

Atletico-MG1.9
Draw3.3
Atletico Paranaense4.5

Both teams to score

Yes48% · 1.95
No52% · 1.8

1X

Chance61.8%
Odds1.18

X2

Chance38.2%
Odds1.91

Atletico-MG

Chance50.1%
Odds1.9

Draw

Chance28.8%
Odds3.3

Atletico Paranaense

Chance21.1%
Odds4.5

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home or Draw at 1.18

Atletico-MGAtletico Paranaense
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall70%30%

Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Sun, 5 Apr 2026

Atletico-MG meet Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil, Serie A on 5 April 2026 at 21:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 2–1.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 1.9. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 50.1% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Under 2.5 (1.7, about 55.3% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on No at 1.8.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense?

Kickoff is 21:30 on 5 April 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense?

Atletico-MG is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.9. The margin-adjusted share is about 50.1%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 2.1 and under 2.5 is 1.7.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.95. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico-MG vs Atletico Paranaense prediction, H2H and stats