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Atletico-MG vs Bahia Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

Brazil · Serie ATue, 21 Jul 2026

Atletico-MG

WWLWW

Tue, 21 Jul 202623:30

1 : 0

Live

Bahia

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Pre-match win probability

48.6%Atletico-MG27.1%Draw24.3%Bahia

Our prediction

Home · Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG vs Bahia listed tip from the board.

Odds1.95
Confidence48.6%
ResultGraded
Pre-match model probabilityPick and odds as published before kick-off
  • Atletico-MG 48.6%
  • Draw 27.1%
  • Bahia 24.3%

Season statistics

Serie A · highlighted side is stronger

Atletico-MGBahia

Betting markets

Bookmaker prices with margin removed

Goal lineOverUnder
0.5 goals22.5% · 1.062.4% · 10
1.5 goals18.6% · 1.286.4% · 3.75
2.5 goals12.6% · 1.912.6% · 1.9
3.5 goals7.5% · 3.217.5% · 1.36

Both teams to score

Yes54.7%
No45.3%

Double chance

1X58.4%
X241.6%

Match result

Atletico-MG1.95
Draw3.5
Bahia3.9

Both teams to score

Yes54.7% · 1.7
No45.3% · 2.05

1X

Chance58.4%
Odds1.28

X2

Chance41.6%
Odds1.8

Atletico-MG

Chance48.6%
Odds1.95

Draw

Chance27.1%
Odds3.5

Bahia

Chance24.3%
Odds3.9

No half-time prices stored.

No corner prices stored.

Model comparison

Our pick: Home at 1.95

Atletico-MGBahia
Recent form50%50%
Attack50%50%
Defence50%50%
Goals model50%50%
Overall67%33%

Atletico-MG vs Bahia: prediction & preview

Brazil · Serie A · Tue, 21 Jul 2026

Atletico-MG meet Bahia in the Brazil, Serie A on 21 July 2026 at 23:30 (Africa/Lagos). The recorded score is 1–0.

On the 1X2 market the shortest price is Atletico-MG at 1.95. Once the bookmaker margin is removed, that outcome carries about 48.6% of the implied chance, with the other two outcomes sharing the rest. A short price means the market rates that side more likely. It is not a certainty, and the margin means the three raw probabilities add up to more than 100% before they are scaled.

The 2.5-goal line is priced shorter on Over 2.5 (1.9, about 50% after the margin). Both teams to score is shorter on Yes at 1.7.

Season points-per-game rates were not stored on this fixture yet. The odds chart still shows how the 1X2, goals, and both-teams markets are priced.

Atletico-MG vs Bahia FAQs

4 questions

What time is Atletico-MG vs Bahia?

Kickoff is 23:30 on 21 July 2026, shown in Africa/Lagos.

Which outcome is shortest on Atletico-MG vs Bahia?

Atletico-MG is the shortest 1X2 price at 1.95. The margin-adjusted share is about 48.6%.

What are the over and under 2.5 prices?

Over 2.5 is 1.9 and under 2.5 is 1.9.

Do both teams score on this match?

Both teams to score is priced at 1.7. That is a market price, not a forecast that both sides will score.

Atletico-MG vs Bahia prediction, H2H and stats